Coffee price week 12/02 – 12/07: Stopping the decline, increasing the increase both domestically and internationally
Coffee prices this week witnessed dramatic fluctuations when both Robusta and Arabica reversed sharply after a series of deep declines. Positive signals from demand, along with the return of roasters, brought a new wind, helping coffee prices recover impressively.
Coffee prices this week 02/12 – 07/12 Vietnam
Domestic coffee prices in Vietnam last week showed clear fluctuations, with a sharp decrease in the middle of the week and a significant recovery at the end of the week.
Coffee price (VND/kg) | ||||||
Market | 02/12 | 03/12 | 04/12 | 05/12 | 06/12 | 07/12 |
Đắk Lắk | 130.000 | 128.000 | 109.000 | 108.000 | 114.500 | 120.000 |
Lâm Đồng | 129.500 | 127.800 | 108.000 | 107.000 | 113.500 | 118.500 |
Gia Lai | 130.000 | 128.000 | 109.000 | 108.000 | 114.300 | 120.00 |
Đắk Nông | 130.500 | 128.500 | 109.500 | 108.500 | 114.700 | 120.200 |
The mid-week price drop was mainly due to the initial harvest entering the market, creating temporary pressure on supply. Businesses took advantage of the low prices to buy and stock up, pushing prices up sharply at the end of the week. Robusta and Arabica coffee prices on international exchanges have increased sharply in recent days, directly affecting domestic prices.
With prices recovering quickly and market demand remaining high, domestic coffee prices are likely to continue to increase in the short term. However, when the supply from the harvest increases significantly in the following weeks, prices may temporarily stabilize or adjust slightly.
What changes in international coffee prices from 02/12 – 07/12?
During the week of 02/12 – 07/12, coffee prices on both international exchanges fluctuated strongly. At the beginning of the week, prices fell sharply due to selling pressure from hedge funds and concerns about slowing demand, but gradually stabilized in the middle of the week and by the end of the week, coffee prices rebounded strongly thanks to buying pressure returning to the market and increased demand during the holiday season.
Day | Robusta (USD/tan) | Arabica (cent/lb) | ||||||
Month 01/2025 | Month 03/2025 | Month 05/2025 | Month 07/2025 | Month 03/2025 | Month 05/2025 | Month 07/2025 | Month 09/2025 | |
02/12 | 4.834 | 4.806 | 4.747 | 4.676 | 296.05 | 294.25 | 290.40 | 286.10 |
03/12 | 4.259 (down 575) | 4.235 (down 571) | 4.184 (down 563) | 4.124 (down 552) | 274.05 (down 22) | 272.25 (down 21.25) | 268.50 (down 20.45) | 265.00 (down 19.70) |
04/12 | 4.626 (down 208) | 4.604 (down 202) | 4.544 (down 204) | 4.477 (down 208) | 295.50 (down 1) | 293.65 (down 1.6) | 289.60 (down 0.8) | 285.05 (down 0.5) |
05/12 | 4.770 (up 144) | 4.751 (up 147) | 4.702 (up 158) | 4.638 (up 161) | 303.70 (up 8.2) | 301.75 (up 8.1) | 297.25 (up 7.7) | 292.20 (up 7.15) |
06/12 | 4.895 (up 125) | 4.873 (up 122) | 4.827 (up 125) | 4.767 (up 129) | 313.50 (up 9.8) | 311.30 (up 9.55) | 306.55 (up 9.3) | 301.10 (up 8.9) |
07/12 | 5.153 (up 258) | 5.116 (up 243) | 5.065 (up 238) | 5.000 (up 233) | 330.25 (up 16.75) | 327.60 (up 16.3) | 321.95 (up 15.4) | 314.15 (up 13.05) |
Coffee prices have been volatile due to concerns about supply shortages from Brazil and Vietnam after prolonged rains delayed harvests, and increased demand from European and North American markets. International coffee prices may continue to rise slightly next week due to hoarding buying. However, the market remains sensitive to fluctuations in weather and export policies.
General assessment and forecast of coffee prices next week
This week’s coffee price forecast shows a strong trend of volatility with many factors influencing it. Global Arabica and Robusta coffee prices reached record highs last week, with Robusta futures for January 2025 delivery increasing by 424 USD/ton and Arabica futures for March delivery increasing by 18.45 cents/lb. Prices are expected to continue to fluctuate and may increase slightly due to tight supply.
The main reasons include limited supply, increasing input costs, and the psychology of waiting for higher prices. In particular, many major producing countries such as Brazil, Colombia, and Vietnam are facing unfavorable weather problems, causing productivity to decrease. High fertilizer prices, transportation costs, and production costs in the end of the year season also contribute to the price increase. Farmers in major producing countries are hesitant to sell, expecting more attractive prices. In addition, the forecast for global coffee production in the 2024/25 crop year is expected to be about 2 million bags short, and Brazil’s 2025/26 crop production may also decrease compared to the previous year.
Overall, the coffee market trend this week is still potentially volatile and depends on weather conditions and purchasing power from roasters during the holiday season. Experts say the upward trend in coffee prices will continue in the short term, but may slow down when supply improves. However, coffee prices will remain high due to stable consumption demand and unpredictable weather factors.
43 Factory Coffee Roaster has just sent readers a summary of coffee prices this week. Check out more coffee machine prices and useful information on our news page!
